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Japan Meteorological Agency: There is a 70% chance that La Niñ a will not occur before the arrival of spring. The Japan Meteorological Agency said that there are no signs of El Niñ o and La Niñ a at present, but the characteristics of La Niñ a are emerging. There is a 70% chance that La Nina will not occur before the spring comes.Afternoon comments on Hong Kong stocks: Hang Seng Index rose by 1.00%, Hang Seng Technology Index rose by 0.79%, and Hong Kong stocks opened higher and fell back. By midday, Hang Seng Index rose by 1.00% and Hang Seng Technology Index rose by 0.79%. On the first day of listing, Mao Geping rose by 78.19%, and it rose by over 5%. Shang Tang fell more than 4%.Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.

Baiao Intelligent: Cancel the absorption and merger of wholly-owned subsidiaries. Baiao Intelligent announced on December 10 that the company intends to cancel the absorption and merger of wholly-owned subsidiaries Kunshan Baisente Materials and Materials Co., Ltd. and Kunshan Baiao Intelligent Logistics Co., Ltd. in consideration of the actual operation and business development plan of the company. This termination will not lead to changes in the scope of the company's merger, the actual rights and interests held by the company will not change, it will not adversely affect the company's production and operation, and there will be no harm to the interests of the company and shareholders.AliExpress has held nearly 100 investment promotion meetings in Zhejiang, Guangdong, Jiangsu and other places. AliExpress has prepared a number of measures such as traffic and freight reduction for new merchants, and held nearly 100 investment promotion meetings in Zhejiang, Guangdong, Jiangsu, Shandong and other places in a month, attracting merchants from factories and industries to join. In addition, this year's "Black Five" is not over yet. Before double 11, the trend of "anti-involution" of e-commerce spread to cross-border circles, and AliExpress launched a series of policies to actively intercept and control the "refund only" and wool party that troubled businesses. (Interface News)India's SENSEX30 index opened 0.08% higher at 81,575.96 points. Among the constituent stocks, MAHINDRA & MAHINDRA opened 1.15% higher, ADANI PORTS rose 1%, and Indian State Grid rose 0.88%; In terms of decline, Maruti Suzuki opened 0.46% lower, Reliance Industries fell 0.4%, and TITAN fell 0.39%.

Heavy meeting set the tone! The turnover of A-shares exceeded one trillion yuan for 50 consecutive trading days, focusing on the opportunities of core assets of A50ETF Huabao (159596). On December 10th, the A-share market rose across the board, and the turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded one trillion yuan for the 50th consecutive trading day, setting a new record. By midday, A50ETF Huabao (159596) had increased by 1.98%, with a turnover of 101 million yuan. In terms of constituent stocks, the top ten awkward stocks rose more and fell less. CITIC Securities led the gains, and China Ping An, China Merchants Bank and other stocks followed suit. According to changjiang securities's analysis, "moderately loose monetary policy" indicates abundant liquidity and broad-spectrum interest rate is still in the downward channel, which is expected to benefit bonds and stocks from the denominator. The "more active fiscal policy" and "all-round expansion of domestic demand" indicate that the broad credit policy is expected to continue to increase, and it is expected to support the price of equity assets from the molecular side.The fund sentiment continues to pick up, and the rebound of A shares is expected to continue! Half-day turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) exceeded 90 million yuan. By midday on December 10th, Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) had increased by 1.83%, with a turnover of 90299400 yuan. Component stocks rose strongly, with China Ping An, China Merchants Bank and Wuliangye rising by over 3%, while Kweichow Moutai, Midea Group and Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited rising by over 2%. In the news, the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9th to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. The meeting stressed that it is necessary to "implement more active and promising macro policies." Galaxy Securities said that looking forward to the market outlook, from the macro event point of view, the US interest rate cut is expected to heat up in December, and the superimposed domestic PMI data performed well. The follow-up policy stimulus and financial data are expected to support the continuous recovery of capital sentiment, which can be appropriately optimistic. In addition, there have been many discussions on the upcoming meeting recently, and there are still strong expectations for stimulus policies. Next, the policy landing will be an important factor affecting whether the market style can be changed. If the fundamentals are expected to improve, the large and medium-sized stocks are expected to change their trend. We can pay attention to the opportunities of medium-term investment, that is, look for the turning point of the industry boom in 2025, such as new energy, medicine, advanced manufacturing, Hong Kong stock Internet and so on.Datong, Shanxi: Parents' and children's provident funds can be withdrawn to buy houses. On December 9, the Housing Provident Fund Management Center of Datong City, Shanxi Province issued the Notice on Adjusting the Policy of Withdrawing and Lending Some Housing Provident Funds. According to the document, the minimum down payment ratio for the first set of housing and the second set of housing is 20% for paid employees who use provident fund loans to purchase self-occupied commercial housing, and 15% for affordable housing. At the same time, the interest rate of individual housing provident fund loans will be lowered by 0.25 percentage points. From May 18, 2024, the interest rates of the first set of individual housing provident fund loans for less than five years (including five years) and more than five years will be adjusted to 2.35% and 2.85% respectively, and the interest rates of the second set of individual housing provident fund loans for less than five years (including five years) and more than five years will be adjusted to 2.775% and 3.325% respectively. Datong will also appropriately increase the amount of provident fund loans. For high-level talents, families with two or more children and families with active military personnel, the maximum amount of housing provident fund loans will rise by 20% on the basis of the current policy. Expand the scope of housing provident fund purchase, and when employees purchase housing, they can also apply for the withdrawal of housing provident fund for parents or children.